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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş 100,000 times. Beşiktaş won 56,219 of them (56.2%), the draw came up 23.4% of the time and Kasımpaşa won 20.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11%, while the likeliest Beşiktaş win is 0-1 (10%). Both teams score in 54.1% of simulations.
| Kasımpaşa win | 20.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.4% |
| Beşiktaş win | 56.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11%) |
| Expected goals | 1.03 – 1.86 |
| Both teams to score | 54.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.8% |
| Kasımpaşa score first | 34.9% |
| Beşiktaş score first | 58.9% |
| Kasımpaşa clean sheet | 16% |
| Beşiktaş clean sheet | 36.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420643237 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Beşiktaş are favourites. They win 56.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.4% for the draw and 20.4% for Kasımpaşa. Including the draw, Beşiktaş avoid defeat 79.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (10%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest Beşiktaş win is 0-1 (10%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.1% of simulations. Kasımpaşa keep a clean sheet 16% of the time and Beşiktaş 36.1%.
The simulations average 2.89 goals: 1.03 for Kasımpaşa and 1.86 for Beşiktaş. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.9% and over 3.5 goals 32.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.