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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Khovd vs Khovd Western 100,000 times. Khovd won 77,038 of them (77%), the draw came up 10.7% of the time and Khovd Western won 12.2%. The most likely score is 4-2 (4.8%), and both teams score in 86.9% of simulations.
Full time 0-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Khovd Western winning 12.2%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Khovd win | 77% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 10.7% |
| Khovd Western win | 12.2% |
| Most likely score | 4-2 (4.8%) |
| Expected goals | 4.67 – 2.13 |
| Both teams to score | 86.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 99.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 96.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 89.8% |
| Khovd score first | 66.3% |
| Khovd Western score first | 33.3% |
| Khovd clean sheet | 12.4% |
| Khovd Western clean sheet | 1.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420739669 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Khovd are favourites. They win 77% of our 100,000 simulations, against 10.7% for the draw and 12.2% for Khovd Western. Including the draw, Khovd avoid defeat 87.8% of the time.
4-2, which came up in 4.8% of simulations. Next are 4-1 (4.6%) and 5-2 (4.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 86.9% of simulations. Khovd keep a clean sheet 12.4% of the time and Khovd Western 1.2%.
The simulations average 6.81 goals: 4.67 for Khovd and 2.13 for Khovd Western. Over 1.5 goals lands 99.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 96.1% and over 3.5 goals 89.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.