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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Kocaelispor vs Rizespor 100,000 times. Kocaelispor won 40,016 of them (40%), the draw came up 28.8% of the time and Rizespor won 31.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.6%, while the likeliest Kocaelispor win is 1-0 (8.7%). Both teams score in 54.3% of simulations.
| Kocaelispor win | 40% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.8% |
| Rizespor win | 31.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.42 – 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | 54.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.4% |
| Kocaelispor score first | 46.2% |
| Rizespor score first | 45% |
| Kocaelispor clean sheet | 29.8% |
| Rizespor clean sheet | 24.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420643207 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Kocaelispor are favourites. They win 40% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.8% for the draw and 31.2% for Rizespor. Including the draw, Kocaelispor avoid defeat 68.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.6% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (8.8%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Kocaelispor win is 1-0 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.3% of simulations. Kocaelispor keep a clean sheet 29.8% of the time and Rizespor 24.7%.
The simulations average 2.64 goals: 1.42 for Kocaelispor and 1.22 for Rizespor. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49% and over 3.5 goals 27.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.