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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Køge vs Barcelona W 100,000 times. Barcelona W won 95,209 of them (95.2%), the draw came up 3.5% of the time and Køge won 1.3%. The most likely score is 0-4 (11.7%), and both teams score in 36.8% of simulations.
Full time 0-8. Before kick-off the simulations had Barcelona W winning 95.2% and gave this exact score 2.9%.
| Køge win | 1.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 3.5% |
| Barcelona W win | 95.2% |
| Most likely score | 0-4 (11.7%) |
| Expected goals | 0.47 – 4.43 |
| Both teams to score | 36.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 94.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 85.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 70.8% |
| Køge score first | 10% |
| Barcelona W score first | 89.2% |
| Køge clean sheet | 1.4% |
| Barcelona W clean sheet | 62.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420710576 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Barcelona W are favourites. They win 95.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 3.5% for the draw and 1.3% for Køge. Including the draw, Barcelona W avoid defeat 98.7% of the time.
0-4, which came up in 11.7% of simulations. Next are 0-3 (10.8%) and 0-5 (10.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 36.8% of simulations. Køge keep a clean sheet 1.4% of the time and Barcelona W 62.6%.
The simulations average 4.90 goals: 0.47 for Køge and 4.43 for Barcelona W. Over 1.5 goals lands 94.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 85.6% and over 3.5 goals 70.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.