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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Korea Republic vs Venezuela 100,000 times. Korea Republic won 57,363 of them (57.4%), the draw came up 21.6% of the time and Venezuela won 21.1%. The most likely score is 1-0 (11.2%), and both teams score in 52.4% of simulations.
Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 21.6% and gave this exact score 5.4%.
| Korea Republic win | 57.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.6% |
| Venezuela win | 21.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (11.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.85 – 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | 52.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Korea Republic score first | 58.8% |
| Venezuela score first | 35.8% |
| Korea Republic clean sheet | 36.8% |
| Venezuela clean sheet | 16.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420593349 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Korea Republic are favourites. They win 57.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.6% for the draw and 21.1% for Venezuela. Including the draw, Korea Republic avoid defeat 78.9% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 11.2% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (10.1%) and 2-0 (9.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.4% of simulations. Korea Republic keep a clean sheet 36.8% of the time and Venezuela 16.2%.
The simulations average 2.85 goals: 1.85 for Korea Republic and 1.01 for Venezuela. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.1% and over 3.5 goals 32%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.