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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Kuressaare vs Levadia 100,000 times. Levadia won 74,249 of them (74.3%), the draw came up 18.1% of the time and Kuressaare won 7.6%. The most likely score is 0-2 (11.7%), and both teams score in 50.5% of simulations.
Full time 0-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Levadia winning 74.3% and gave this exact score 11.7%.
| Kuressaare win | 7.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.1% |
| Levadia win | 74.3% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (11.7%) |
| Expected goals | 0.77 – 2.56 |
| Both teams to score | 50.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.5% |
| Kuressaare score first | 22% |
| Levadia score first | 72.6% |
| Kuressaare clean sheet | 8.1% |
| Levadia clean sheet | 46.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420521756 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Levadia are favourites. They win 74.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.1% for the draw and 7.6% for Kuressaare. Including the draw, Levadia avoid defeat 92.4% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 11.7% of simulations. Next are 0-3 (9.9%) and 1-2 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50.5% of simulations. Kuressaare keep a clean sheet 8.1% of the time and Levadia 46.7%.
The simulations average 3.33 goals: 0.77 for Kuressaare and 2.56 for Levadia. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.3% and over 3.5 goals 42.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.