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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Kyrgyz Republic vs Maldives 100,000 times. Kyrgyz Republic won 93,175 of them (93.2%), the draw came up 6.6% of the time and Maldives won 0.3%. The most likely score is 2-0 (21.8%), and both teams score in 4.9% of simulations.
Full time 5-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Kyrgyz Republic winning 93.2% and gave this exact score 8.9%.
| Kyrgyz Republic win | 93.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 6.6% |
| Maldives win | 0.3% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (21.8%) |
| Expected goals | 2.90 – 0.05 |
| Both teams to score | 4.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.1% |
| Kyrgyz Republic score first | 92.6% |
| Maldives score first | 1.7% |
| Kyrgyz Republic clean sheet | 94.9% |
| Maldives clean sheet | 5.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420718636 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Kyrgyz Republic are favourites. They win 93.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 6.6% for the draw and 0.3% for Maldives. Including the draw, Kyrgyz Republic avoid defeat 99.7% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 21.8% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (20.7%) and 1-0 (15.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 4.9% of simulations. Kyrgyz Republic keep a clean sheet 94.9% of the time and Maldives 5.9%.
The simulations average 2.95 goals: 2.90 for Kyrgyz Republic and 0.05 for Maldives. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56% and over 3.5 goals 34.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.