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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Lahti vs TPS 100,000 times. Lahti won 56,784 of them (56.8%), the draw came up 23.7% of the time and TPS won 19.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11%, while the likeliest Lahti win is 2-1 (9.7%). Both teams score in 57.7% of simulations.
Full time 5-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Lahti winning 56.8%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Lahti win | 56.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.7% |
| TPS win | 19.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11%) |
| Expected goals | 1.98 – 1.09 |
| Both teams to score | 57.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.8% |
| Lahti score first | 63.9% |
| TPS score first | 30.2% |
| Lahti clean sheet | 34% |
| TPS clean sheet | 14.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420709418 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Lahti are favourites. They win 56.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.7% for the draw and 19.5% for TPS. Including the draw, Lahti avoid defeat 80.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest Lahti win is 2-1 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.7% of simulations. Lahti keep a clean sheet 34% of the time and TPS 14.2%.
The simulations average 3.07 goals: 1.98 for Lahti and 1.09 for TPS. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.9% and over 3.5 goals 36.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.