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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Lanús W vs SAT W 100,000 times. SAT W won 41,822 of them (41.8%), the draw came up 31.3% of the time and Lanús W won 26.9%. The most likely score is 0-1 (15.6%), and both teams score in 37.9% of simulations.
Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 31.3% and gave this exact score 14.7%.
| Lanús W win | 26.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 31.3% |
| SAT W win | 41.8% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (15.6%) |
| Expected goals | 0.83 – 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | 37.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 58.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 13.6% |
| Lanús W score first | 38% |
| SAT W score first | 47.3% |
| Lanús W clean sheet | 33% |
| SAT W clean sheet | 43.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420728539 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
SAT W are favourites. They win 41.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 31.3% for the draw and 26.9% for Lanús W. Including the draw, SAT W avoid defeat 73.1% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 15.6% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (14.7%) and 1-1 (13.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 37.9% of simulations. Lanús W keep a clean sheet 33% of the time and SAT W 43.7%.
The simulations average 1.95 goals: 0.83 for Lanús W and 1.12 for SAT W. Over 1.5 goals lands 58.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 31.1% and over 3.5 goals 13.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.