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Ekstraklasa · 100,000 simulations

Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa prediction

We simulated Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa 100,000 times. Legia Warszawa won 53,230 of them (53.2%), the draw came up 23.3% of the time and Raków Częstochowa won 23.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.7%, while the likeliest Legia Warszawa win is 2-1 (9.6%). Both teams score in 59.4% of simulations.

Legia Warszawa badge
Legia Warszawa Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego
Today
Raków Częstochowa badge
Raków Częstochowa Away
53.2% 53,230 wins
23.3% Draw
23.5% 23,479 wins
Expected goals
1.91 – 1.20
Likeliest score
1-1 10.7% Top Legia Warszawa win: 2-1 9.6%
Both score
59.4%
Over 2.5
59.7%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Jarosław Przybył Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Warszawa
Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa lineups, team news & head to head

Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa in numbers 100,000 simulations · Ekstraklasa · Today, 16:30

Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa simulation probabilities
Legia Warszawa win53.2%
Draw23.3%
Raków Częstochowa win23.5%
Most likely score1-1 (10.7%)
Expected goals1.91 – 1.20
Both teams to score59.4%
Over 1.5 goals81.7%
Over 2.5 goals59.7%
Over 3.5 goals37.6%
Legia Warszawa score first62%
Raków Częstochowa score first32.9%
Legia Warszawa clean sheet30.5%
Raków Częstochowa clean sheet15.3%
Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420584785
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa prediction FAQs

Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?

Legia Warszawa are favourites. They win 53.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.3% for the draw and 23.5% for Raków Częstochowa. Including the draw, Legia Warszawa avoid defeat 76.5% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?

1-1, which came up in 10.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Legia Warszawa win is 2-1 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?

Both teams score in 59.4% of simulations. Legia Warszawa keep a clean sheet 30.5% of the time and Raków Częstochowa 15.3%.

How many goals will there be in Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?

The simulations average 3.10 goals: 1.91 for Legia Warszawa and 1.20 for Raków Częstochowa. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.7% and over 3.5 goals 37.6%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.