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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated León U21 vs Juárez U21 100,000 times. León U21 won 43,421 of them (43.4%), the draw came up 27.9% of the time and Juárez U21 won 28.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.1%, while the likeliest León U21 win is 1-0 (10.9%). Both teams score in 50.4% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had León U21 winning 43.4% and gave this exact score 10.9%.
| León U21 win | 43.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.9% |
| Juárez U21 win | 28.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.41 – 1.09 |
| Both teams to score | 50.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.4% |
| León U21 score first | 54% |
| Juárez U21 score first | 37.1% |
| León U21 clean sheet | 33.8% |
| Juárez U21 clean sheet | 24.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420578715 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
León U21 are favourites. They win 43.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.9% for the draw and 28.7% for Juárez U21. Including the draw, León U21 avoid defeat 71.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.1% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.9%) and 0-0 (9.1%). The likeliest León U21 win is 1-0 (10.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50.4% of simulations. León U21 keep a clean sheet 33.8% of the time and Juárez U21 24.9%.
The simulations average 2.50 goals: 1.41 for León U21 and 1.09 for Juárez U21. Over 1.5 goals lands 71.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 45.5% and over 3.5 goals 24.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.