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Liga MX · 100,000 simulations

León vs Guadalajara prediction

We simulated León vs Guadalajara 100,000 times. Guadalajara won 41,753 of them (41.8%), the draw came up 26.6% of the time and León won 31.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.4%, while the likeliest Guadalajara win is 1-2 (8.8%). Both teams score in 58.3% of simulations.

León badge
León Estadio León
Monday 9 November
Guadalajara badge
Guadalajara Away
31.7% 31,658 wins
26.6% Draw
41.8% 41,753 wins
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.55
Likeliest score
1-1 12.4% Top Guadalajara win: 1-2 8.8%
Both score
58.3%
Over 2.5
54.7%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Estadio León, León de los Aldamas
León vs Guadalajara lineups, team news & head to head

León vs Guadalajara in numbers 100,000 simulations · Liga MX · Monday 9 November, 02:10

León vs Guadalajara simulation probabilities
León win31.7%
Draw26.6%
Guadalajara win41.8%
Most likely score1-1 (12.4%)
Expected goals1.33 – 1.55
Both teams to score58.3%
Over 1.5 goals78.9%
Over 2.5 goals54.7%
Over 3.5 goals32.6%
León score first41.2%
Guadalajara score first52.3%
León clean sheet21.6%
Guadalajara clean sheet27%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420578803
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

León vs Guadalajara prediction FAQs

Who will win León vs Guadalajara?

Guadalajara are favourites. They win 41.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.6% for the draw and 31.7% for León. Including the draw, Guadalajara avoid defeat 68.3% of the time.

What is the most likely score in León vs Guadalajara?

1-1, which came up in 12.4% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-1 (7.8%). The likeliest Guadalajara win is 1-2 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in León vs Guadalajara?

Both teams score in 58.3% of simulations. León keep a clean sheet 21.6% of the time and Guadalajara 27%.

How many goals will there be in León vs Guadalajara?

The simulations average 2.88 goals: 1.33 for León and 1.55 for Guadalajara. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.7% and over 3.5 goals 32.6%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.