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Division 2: Sodra Gotaland · 100,000 simulations

Lilla Torg vs Nosaby prediction

We simulated Lilla Torg vs Nosaby 100,000 times. Lilla Torg won 45,945 of them (46%), the draw came up 23% of the time and Nosaby won 31%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.8%, while the likeliest Lilla Torg win is 2-1 (8.7%). Both teams score in 67.2% of simulations.

Lilla Torg badge
Lilla Torg Hästhagens IP
2–3 Full time
Nosaby badge
Nosaby Away
46% 45,945 wins
23% Draw
31% 31,031 wins
Expected goals
1.92 – 1.55
Likeliest score
1-1 9.8% Top Lilla Torg win: 2-1 8.7%
Both score
67.2%
Over 2.5
67.1%

Full time 2-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Nosaby winning 31% and gave this exact score 3.5%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Hästhagens IP
Lilla Torg vs Nosaby live score, stats & lineups

Lilla Torg vs Nosaby in numbers 100,000 simulations · Division 2: Sodra Gotaland · Friday 2 October, 18:00

Lilla Torg vs Nosaby simulation probabilities
Lilla Torg win46%
Draw23%
Nosaby win31%
Most likely score1-1 (9.8%)
Expected goals1.92 – 1.55
Both teams to score67.2%
Over 1.5 goals86.4%
Over 2.5 goals67.1%
Over 3.5 goals45.7%
Lilla Torg score first50.5%
Nosaby score first45.9%
Lilla Torg clean sheet21.6%
Nosaby clean sheet15.1%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420538066
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Lilla Torg vs Nosaby prediction FAQs

Who will win Lilla Torg vs Nosaby?

Lilla Torg are favourites. They win 46% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23% for the draw and 31% for Nosaby. Including the draw, Lilla Torg avoid defeat 69% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Lilla Torg vs Nosaby?

1-1, which came up in 9.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.7%) and 1-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Lilla Torg win is 2-1 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Lilla Torg vs Nosaby?

Both teams score in 67.2% of simulations. Lilla Torg keep a clean sheet 21.6% of the time and Nosaby 15.1%.

How many goals will there be in Lilla Torg vs Nosaby?

The simulations average 3.47 goals: 1.92 for Lilla Torg and 1.55 for Nosaby. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 67.1% and over 3.5 goals 45.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.