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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Liniers vs Excursionistas 100,000 times. Excursionistas won 45,467 of them (45.5%), the draw came up 30% of the time and Liniers won 24.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.7%, while the likeliest Excursionistas win is 0-1 (13.4%). Both teams score in 44.1% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Liniers winning 24.5% and gave this exact score 8.8%.
| Liniers win | 24.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 30% |
| Excursionistas win | 45.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.7%) |
| Expected goals | 0.90 – 1.32 |
| Both teams to score | 44.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 18.6% |
| Liniers score first | 37.1% |
| Excursionistas score first | 50.9% |
| Liniers clean sheet | 27% |
| Excursionistas clean sheet | 41% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420503717 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Excursionistas are favourites. They win 45.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 30% for the draw and 24.5% for Liniers. Including the draw, Excursionistas avoid defeat 75.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.7% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (13.4%) and 0-0 (12%). The likeliest Excursionistas win is 0-1 (13.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 44.1% of simulations. Liniers keep a clean sheet 27% of the time and Excursionistas 41%.
The simulations average 2.22 goals: 0.90 for Liniers and 1.32 for Excursionistas. Over 1.5 goals lands 65.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 38.3% and over 3.5 goals 18.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.