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BETA
VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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UPDATE
Bet Builder Page Enhancements Live Now
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- Top Picks Section on Fixtures - New Overview Section on Index - More Leagues Added (FA Cup, MLS, Belgian Pro, Etc) - Improved Layout on D…
VIDEO
Predictions Show Episode Featuring Bet Builder
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🗣️ In this episode of the Predictions Show, founder Joe takes the new Bet Builder tool for a spin to create some interesting combinations f…
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Livingston vs Hearts 100,000 times. Hearts won 53,740 of them (53.7%), the draw came up 23.5% of the time and Livingston won 22.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.9%, while the likeliest Hearts win is 1-2 (9.6%). Both teams score in 57.1% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Livingston winning 22.8% and gave this exact score 5.9%.
| Livingston win | 22.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.5% |
| Hearts win | 53.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.13 – 1.86 |
| Both teams to score | 57.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% |
| Livingston score first | 36.7% |
| Hearts score first | 57.6% |
| Livingston clean sheet | 16% |
| Hearts clean sheet | 32.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420571432 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Hearts are favourites. They win 53.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.5% for the draw and 22.8% for Livingston. Including the draw, Hearts avoid defeat 77.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.9% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (9%). The likeliest Hearts win is 1-2 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.1% of simulations. Livingston keep a clean sheet 16% of the time and Hearts 32.6%.
The simulations average 2.99 goals: 1.13 for Livingston and 1.86 for Hearts. Over 1.5 goals lands 80% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.2% and over 3.5 goals 35%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.