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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Llanera vs Ponferradina 100,000 times. Ponferradina won 53,919 of them (53.9%), the draw came up 25% of the time and Llanera won 21%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.8%, while the likeliest Ponferradina win is 0-1 (11.1%). Both teams score in 51.3% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 25% and gave this exact score 11.8%.
| Llanera win | 21% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25% |
| Ponferradina win | 53.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.8%) |
| Expected goals | 0.98 – 1.71 |
| Both teams to score | 51.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.5% |
| Llanera score first | 33.7% |
| Ponferradina score first | 59% |
| Llanera clean sheet | 18.4% |
| Ponferradina clean sheet | 37.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420731350 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Ponferradina are favourites. They win 53.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25% for the draw and 21% for Llanera. Including the draw, Ponferradina avoid defeat 79% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.8% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (11.1%) and 0-2 (9.9%). The likeliest Ponferradina win is 0-1 (11.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.3% of simulations. Llanera keep a clean sheet 18.4% of the time and Ponferradina 37.9%.
The simulations average 2.69 goals: 0.98 for Llanera and 1.71 for Ponferradina. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.3% and over 3.5 goals 28.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.