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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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UPDATE
Bet Builder Page Enhancements Live Now
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VIDEO
Predictions Show Episode Featuring Bet Builder
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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated LoPa vs SexyPöxyt 100,000 times. SexyPöxyt won 56,656 of them (56.7%), the draw came up 19.7% of the time and LoPa won 23.7%. The most likely score is 1-2 (8.1%), and both teams score in 73.2% of simulations.
Full time 2-2. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 19.7% and gave this exact score 6.5%.
| LoPa win | 23.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.7% |
| SexyPöxyt win | 56.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (8.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.60 – 2.51 |
| Both teams to score | 73.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 58.4% |
| LoPa score first | 39.4% |
| SexyPöxyt score first | 58.3% |
| LoPa clean sheet | 8.6% |
| SexyPöxyt clean sheet | 20.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420549389 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
SexyPöxyt are favourites. They win 56.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.7% for the draw and 23.7% for LoPa. Including the draw, SexyPöxyt avoid defeat 76.3% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 8.1% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (7.2%) and 1-3 (6.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 73.2% of simulations. LoPa keep a clean sheet 8.6% of the time and SexyPöxyt 20.5%.
The simulations average 4.11 goals: 1.60 for LoPa and 2.51 for SexyPöxyt. Over 1.5 goals lands 91.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 77.3% and over 3.5 goals 58.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.