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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven 100,000 times. Loudoun United won 44,427 of them (44.4%), the draw came up 25.1% of the time and Indy Eleven won 30.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.5%, while the likeliest Loudoun United win is 2-1 (9%). Both teams score in 60.7% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 25.1% and gave this exact score 11.5%.
| Loudoun United win | 44.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.1% |
| Indy Eleven win | 30.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.68 – 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | 60.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.3% |
| Loudoun United score first | 49.8% |
| Indy Eleven score first | 44.6% |
| Loudoun United clean sheet | 26% |
| Indy Eleven clean sheet | 19% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420520052 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Loudoun United are favourites. They win 44.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.1% for the draw and 30.5% for Indy Eleven. Including the draw, Loudoun United avoid defeat 69.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.5% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Loudoun United win is 2-1 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.7% of simulations. Loudoun United keep a clean sheet 26% of the time and Indy Eleven 19%.
The simulations average 3.04 goals: 1.68 for Loudoun United and 1.36 for Indy Eleven. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.4% and over 3.5 goals 36.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.