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USL Championship · 100,000 simulations

Louisville City vs Detroit City prediction

We simulated Louisville City vs Detroit City 100,000 times. Louisville City won 42,266 of them (42.3%), the draw came up 32.1% of the time and Detroit City won 25.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 15.1%, while the likeliest Louisville City win is 1-0 (9.9%). Both teams score in 50.2% of simulations.

Louisville City badge
Louisville City Lynn Family Stadium
0–0 Full time
Detroit City badge
Detroit City Away
42.3% 42,266 wins
32.1% Draw
25.7% 25,654 wins
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.03
Likeliest score
1-1 15.1% Top Louisville win: 1-0 9.9%
Both score
50.2%
Over 2.5
43.2%

Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 32.1% and gave this exact score 11.8%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Lynn Family Stadium, North & Central America
Louisville City vs Detroit City live score, stats & lineups

Louisville City vs Detroit City in numbers 100,000 simulations · USL Championship · Sunday 25 October, 00:00

Louisville City vs Detroit City simulation probabilities
Louisville City win42.3%
Draw32.1%
Detroit City win25.7%
Most likely score1-1 (15.1%)
Expected goals1.38 – 1.03
Both teams to score50.2%
Over 1.5 goals71.6%
Over 2.5 goals43.2%
Over 3.5 goals22.5%
Louisville City score first51.8%
Detroit City score first36.4%
Louisville City clean sheet36%
Detroit City clean sheet25.6%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420520065
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Louisville City vs Detroit City prediction FAQs

Who will win Louisville City vs Detroit City?

Louisville City are favourites. They win 42.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 32.1% for the draw and 25.7% for Detroit City. Including the draw, Louisville City avoid defeat 74.4% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Louisville City vs Detroit City?

1-1, which came up in 15.1% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (11.8%) and 1-0 (9.9%). The likeliest Louisville City win is 1-0 (9.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Louisville City vs Detroit City?

Both teams score in 50.2% of simulations. Louisville City keep a clean sheet 36% of the time and Detroit City 25.6%.

How many goals will there be in Louisville City vs Detroit City?

The simulations average 2.41 goals: 1.38 for Louisville City and 1.03 for Detroit City. Over 1.5 goals lands 71.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 43.2% and over 3.5 goals 22.5%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.