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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Lugazi Municipal vs BUL 100,000 times. BUL won 54,425 of them (54.4%), the draw came up 27.1% of the time and Lugazi Municipal won 18.5%. The most likely score is 0-1 (15.6%), and both teams score in 40.6% of simulations.
Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 27.1% and gave this exact score 11.3%.
| Lugazi Municipal win | 18.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.1% |
| BUL win | 54.4% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (15.6%) |
| Expected goals | 0.74 – 1.49 |
| Both teams to score | 40.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 18.8% |
| Lugazi Municipal score first | 29.8% |
| BUL score first | 58.8% |
| Lugazi Municipal clean sheet | 23% |
| BUL clean sheet | 47.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420678312 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
BUL are favourites. They win 54.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.1% for the draw and 18.5% for Lugazi Municipal. Including the draw, BUL avoid defeat 81.5% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 15.6% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (12.1%) and 0-2 (11.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 40.6% of simulations. Lugazi Municipal keep a clean sheet 23% of the time and BUL 47.8%.
The simulations average 2.23 goals: 0.74 for Lugazi Municipal and 1.49 for BUL. Over 1.5 goals lands 65.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 38.4% and over 3.5 goals 18.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.