NEW
Introducing New Bet Builder Tool
4 Nov 2026
Build bet builders with the stats switched on. This new innovative tool combines the UI you are familiar with when you place bet builders a…
BETA
VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
30 Oct 2026
VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
NEWS
The first round of updates to the new Bet Builder
6 Nov 2026
- Top Picks Section on Fixtures - New Overview Section on Index - More Leagues Added (FA Cup, MLS, Belgian Pro, Etc) - Improved Layout on D…
VIDEO
Predictions Show Episode Featuring Bet Builder
6 Nov 2026
🗣️ In this episode of the Predictions Show, founder Joe takes the new Bet Builder tool for a spin to create some interesting combinations f…
NEW
Introducing The Pulse Feature For Insights
6 Nov 2026
It lives at the top of the fixture feed and will show you all of the interesting data it has found across the many tools and metrics on Odd…
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Lugo vs Arenteiro 100,000 times. Lugo won 67,538 of them (67.5%), the draw came up 19.8% of the time and Arenteiro won 12.7%. The most likely score is 1-0 (14.3%), and both teams score in 42% of simulations.
Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 19.8% and gave this exact score 7%.
| Lugo win | 67.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.8% |
| Arenteiro win | 12.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (14.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.96 – 0.69 |
| Both teams to score | 42% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.5% |
| Lugo score first | 67.6% |
| Arenteiro score first | 25.4% |
| Lugo clean sheet | 50.5% |
| Arenteiro clean sheet | 14.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/378352083 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Lugo are favourites. They win 67.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.8% for the draw and 12.7% for Arenteiro. Including the draw, Lugo avoid defeat 87.3% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 14.3% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (13.5%) and 2-1 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 42% of simulations. Lugo keep a clean sheet 50.5% of the time and Arenteiro 14.5%.
The simulations average 2.65 goals: 1.96 for Lugo and 0.69 for Arenteiro. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.2% and over 3.5 goals 27.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.