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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Os Limianos 100,000 times. Lusitania FC Lourosa won 81,969 of them (82%), the draw came up 13.1% of the time and Os Limianos won 4.9%. The most likely score is 2-0 (17.5%), and both teams score in 29% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Lusitania FC Lourosa winning 82% and gave this exact score 6.8%.
| Lusitania FC Lourosa win | 82% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 13.1% |
| Os Limianos win | 4.9% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (17.5%) |
| Expected goals | 2.40 – 0.39 |
| Both teams to score | 29% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.6% |
| Lusitania FC Lourosa score first | 81.7% |
| Os Limianos score first | 12.2% |
| Lusitania FC Lourosa clean sheet | 67.7% |
| Os Limianos clean sheet | 9.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725916 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Lusitania FC Lourosa are favourites. They win 82% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13.1% for the draw and 4.9% for Os Limianos. Including the draw, Lusitania FC Lourosa avoid defeat 95.1% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 17.5% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (15.2%) and 3-0 (13.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 29% of simulations. Lusitania FC Lourosa keep a clean sheet 67.7% of the time and Os Limianos 9.5%.
The simulations average 2.79 goals: 2.40 for Lusitania FC Lourosa and 0.39 for Os Limianos. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.5% and over 3.5 goals 30.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.