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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Luton Town U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21 100,000 times. Nottingham Forest U21 won 60,669 of them (60.7%), the draw came up 18.8% of the time and Luton Town U21 won 20.5%. The most likely score is 1-2 (8.7%), and both teams score in 68.9% of simulations.
Full time 2-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Nottingham Forest U21 winning 60.7% and gave this exact score 5%.
| Luton Town U21 win | 20.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.8% |
| Nottingham Forest U21 win | 60.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (8.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.41 – 2.50 |
| Both teams to score | 68.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 54.5% |
| Luton Town U21 score first | 33.4% |
| Nottingham Forest U21 score first | 64.2% |
| Luton Town U21 clean sheet | 8.7% |
| Nottingham Forest U21 clean sheet | 24.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420642381 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Nottingham Forest U21 are favourites. They win 60.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.8% for the draw and 20.5% for Luton Town U21. Including the draw, Nottingham Forest U21 avoid defeat 79.5% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 8.7% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (7.3%) and 1-3 (7.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 68.9% of simulations. Luton Town U21 keep a clean sheet 8.7% of the time and Nottingham Forest U21 24.8%.
The simulations average 3.91 goals: 1.41 for Luton Town U21 and 2.50 for Nottingham Forest U21. Over 1.5 goals lands 90% of the time, over 2.5 goals 74.3% and over 3.5 goals 54.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.