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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Luzern vs Sion 100,000 times. Luzern won 42,325 of them (42.3%), the draw came up 22.4% of the time and Sion won 35.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 8.6%, while the likeliest Luzern win is 2-1 (7.8%). Both teams score in 72.6% of simulations.
| Luzern win | 42.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.4% |
| Sion win | 35.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (8.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.01 – 1.82 |
| Both teams to score | 72.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 53% |
| Luzern score first | 56.3% |
| Sion score first | 40.6% |
| Luzern clean sheet | 16.6% |
| Sion clean sheet | 13.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420590828 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Luzern are favourites. They win 42.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.4% for the draw and 35.3% for Sion. Including the draw, Luzern avoid defeat 64.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 8.6% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (7.8%) and 1-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Luzern win is 2-1 (7.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 72.6% of simulations. Luzern keep a clean sheet 16.6% of the time and Sion 13.9%.
The simulations average 3.83 goals: 2.01 for Luzern and 1.82 for Sion. Over 1.5 goals lands 89.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 73.2% and over 3.5 goals 53%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.