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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Lyon Duchère vs Fréjus St-Raphaël 100,000 times. Lyon Duchère won 40,002 of them (40%), the draw came up 25.9% of the time and Fréjus St-Raphaël won 34.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.2%, while the likeliest Lyon Duchère win is 1-0 (10.6%). Both teams score in 51.5% of simulations.
| Lyon Duchère win | 40% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.9% |
| Fréjus St-Raphaël win | 34.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.35 – 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | 51.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.9% |
| Lyon Duchère score first | 51.8% |
| Fréjus St-Raphaël score first | 40.7% |
| Lyon Duchère clean sheet | 29.8% |
| Fréjus St-Raphaël clean sheet | 26.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420675033 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Lyon Duchère are favourites. They win 40% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.9% for the draw and 34.1% for Fréjus St-Raphaël. Including the draw, Lyon Duchère avoid defeat 65.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.2% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.6%) and 0-1 (9.7%). The likeliest Lyon Duchère win is 1-0 (10.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.5% of simulations. Lyon Duchère keep a clean sheet 29.8% of the time and Fréjus St-Raphaël 26.3%.
The simulations average 2.57 goals: 1.35 for Lyon Duchère and 1.22 for Fréjus St-Raphaël. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 47.3% and over 3.5 goals 25.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.