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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Macaé vs Carapebus 100,000 times. Macaé won 55,514 of them (55.5%), the draw came up 28.6% of the time and Carapebus won 15.9%. The most likely score is 1-0 (14.8%), and both teams score in 41% of simulations.
Full time 4-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Macaé winning 55.5%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Macaé win | 55.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.6% |
| Carapebus win | 15.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (14.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.54 – 0.71 |
| Both teams to score | 41% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 19.1% |
| Macaé score first | 65.5% |
| Carapebus score first | 22.4% |
| Macaé clean sheet | 49.4% |
| Carapebus clean sheet | 21.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420687381 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Macaé are favourites. They win 55.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.6% for the draw and 15.9% for Carapebus. Including the draw, Macaé avoid defeat 84.2% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 14.8% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (12.8%) and 2-0 (12.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 41% of simulations. Macaé keep a clean sheet 49.4% of the time and Carapebus 21.9%.
The simulations average 2.25 goals: 1.54 for Macaé and 0.71 for Carapebus. Over 1.5 goals lands 66.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 38.9% and over 3.5 goals 19.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.