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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Macaé vs Petrópolis 100,000 times. Petrópolis won 39,815 of them (39.8%), the draw came up 30.5% of the time and Macaé won 29.7%. The most likely score is 0-1 (14.1%), and both teams score in 40.8% of simulations.
Full time 0-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Petrópolis winning 39.8% and gave this exact score 14.1%.
| Macaé win | 29.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 30.5% |
| Petrópolis win | 39.8% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (14.1%) |
| Expected goals | 0.93 – 1.13 |
| Both teams to score | 40.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 15.6% |
| Macaé score first | 42.8% |
| Petrópolis score first | 44.2% |
| Macaé clean sheet | 32.7% |
| Petrópolis clean sheet | 39.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420703287 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Petrópolis are favourites. They win 39.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 30.5% for the draw and 29.7% for Macaé. Including the draw, Petrópolis avoid defeat 70.3% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 14.1% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (13.4%) and 0-0 (13.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 40.8% of simulations. Macaé keep a clean sheet 32.7% of the time and Petrópolis 39.7%.
The simulations average 2.06 goals: 0.93 for Macaé and 1.13 for Petrópolis. Over 1.5 goals lands 61% of the time, over 2.5 goals 34% and over 3.5 goals 15.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.