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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi City 100,000 times. Machida Zelvia won 73,105 of them (73.1%), the draw came up 16.9% of the time and Tochigi City won 10%. The most likely score is 2-0 (9.9%), and both teams score in 56.1% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Machida Zelvia winning 73.1% and gave this exact score 8.9%.
| Machida Zelvia win | 73.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 16.9% |
| Tochigi City win | 10% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (9.9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.66 – 0.92 |
| Both teams to score | 56.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 47.7% |
| Machida Zelvia score first | 73.2% |
| Tochigi City score first | 23.1% |
| Machida Zelvia clean sheet | 40.3% |
| Tochigi City clean sheet | 7.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420673833 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Machida Zelvia are favourites. They win 73.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 16.9% for the draw and 10% for Tochigi City. Including the draw, Machida Zelvia avoid defeat 90% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 9.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.9%) and 3-0 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.1% of simulations. Machida Zelvia keep a clean sheet 40.3% of the time and Tochigi City 7.4%.
The simulations average 3.57 goals: 2.66 for Machida Zelvia and 0.92 for Tochigi City. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68.8% and over 3.5 goals 47.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.