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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Mačva Šabac vs Crvena Zvezda 100,000 times. Crvena Zvezda won 80,192 of them (80.2%), the draw came up 12.9% of the time and Mačva Šabac won 6.9%. The most likely score is 0-2 (13.7%), and both teams score in 41% of simulations.
Full time 2-4. Before kick-off the simulations had Crvena Zvezda winning 80.2%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Mačva Šabac win | 6.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 12.9% |
| Crvena Zvezda win | 80.2% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (13.7%) |
| Expected goals | 0.60 – 2.60 |
| Both teams to score | 41% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.6% |
| Mačva Šabac score first | 17.6% |
| Crvena Zvezda score first | 78.7% |
| Mačva Šabac clean sheet | 7.8% |
| Crvena Zvezda clean sheet | 55.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420580262 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Crvena Zvezda are favourites. They win 80.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 12.9% for the draw and 6.9% for Mačva Šabac. Including the draw, Crvena Zvezda avoid defeat 93.1% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 13.7% of simulations. Next are 0-3 (11.8%) and 0-1 (11.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 41% of simulations. Mačva Šabac keep a clean sheet 7.8% of the time and Crvena Zvezda 55.2%.
The simulations average 3.20 goals: 0.60 for Mačva Šabac and 2.60 for Crvena Zvezda. Over 1.5 goals lands 82% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.5% and over 3.5 goals 39.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.