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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Mafra vs Santa Clara 100,000 times. Santa Clara won 58,204 of them (58.2%), the draw came up 22.6% of the time and Mafra won 19.2%. The most likely score is 0-1 (11.3%), and both teams score in 51.1% of simulations.
Full time 3-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Mafra winning 19.2%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Mafra win | 19.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.6% |
| Santa Clara win | 58.2% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (11.3%) |
| Expected goals | 0.95 – 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | 51.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.7% |
| Mafra score first | 30.8% |
| Santa Clara score first | 62.7% |
| Mafra clean sheet | 16.2% |
| Santa Clara clean sheet | 39.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725907 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Santa Clara are favourites. They win 58.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.6% for the draw and 19.2% for Mafra. Including the draw, Santa Clara avoid defeat 80.8% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 11.3% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (10.7%) and 0-2 (10.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.1% of simulations. Mafra keep a clean sheet 16.2% of the time and Santa Clara 39.1%.
The simulations average 2.79 goals: 0.95 for Mafra and 1.85 for Santa Clara. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.7% and over 3.5 goals 30.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.