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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Maidenhead United vs Milton Keynes Dons 100,000 times. Milton Keynes Dons won 67,672 of them (67.7%), the draw came up 18.1% of the time and Maidenhead United won 14.2%. The most likely score is 0-2 (11.3%), and both teams score in 50% of simulations.
Full time 1-4. Before kick-off the simulations had Milton Keynes Dons winning 67.7% and gave this exact score 3.8%.
| Maidenhead United win | 14.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.1% |
| Milton Keynes Dons win | 67.7% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (11.3%) |
| Expected goals | 0.85 – 2.17 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.8% |
| Maidenhead United score first | 28.6% |
| Milton Keynes Dons score first | 66.5% |
| Maidenhead United clean sheet | 11.8% |
| Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet | 42.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420568890 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Milton Keynes Dons are favourites. They win 67.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.1% for the draw and 14.2% for Maidenhead United. Including the draw, Milton Keynes Dons avoid defeat 85.8% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 11.3% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50% of simulations. Maidenhead United keep a clean sheet 11.8% of the time and Milton Keynes Dons 42.8%.
The simulations average 3.03 goals: 0.85 for Maidenhead United and 2.17 for Milton Keynes Dons. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.9% and over 3.5 goals 35.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.