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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al Ahli 100,000 times. Al Ahli won 37,913 of them (37.9%), the draw came up 25.5% of the time and Mamelodi Sundowns won 36.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.7%, while the likeliest Al Ahli win is 1-2 (8.3%). Both teams score in 60.9% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Mamelodi Sundowns winning 36.6% and gave this exact score 8.2%.
| Mamelodi Sundowns win | 36.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.5% |
| Al Ahli win | 37.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.50 – 1.53 |
| Both teams to score | 60.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.8% |
| Mamelodi Sundowns score first | 46% |
| Al Ahli score first | 48% |
| Mamelodi Sundowns clean sheet | 22.1% |
| Al Ahli clean sheet | 22.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420673783 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al Ahli are favourites. They win 37.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.5% for the draw and 36.6% for Mamelodi Sundowns. Including the draw, Al Ahli avoid defeat 63.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.7% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.3%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest Al Ahli win is 1-2 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.9% of simulations. Mamelodi Sundowns keep a clean sheet 22.1% of the time and Al Ahli 22.8%.
The simulations average 3.02 goals: 1.50 for Mamelodi Sundowns and 1.53 for Al Ahli. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.9% and over 3.5 goals 35.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.