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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete 100,000 times. Mamelodi Sundowns won 85,630 of them (85.6%), the draw came up 11.4% of the time and Wiliete won 3%. The most likely score is 2-0 (18.4%), and both teams score in 24.2% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 11.4% and gave this exact score 4.5%.
| Mamelodi Sundowns win | 85.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 11.4% |
| Wiliete win | 3% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (18.4%) |
| Expected goals | 2.57 – 0.31 |
| Both teams to score | 24.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.6% |
| Mamelodi Sundowns score first | 83.7% |
| Wiliete score first | 10.4% |
| Mamelodi Sundowns clean sheet | 73.7% |
| Wiliete clean sheet | 8.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420712110 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Mamelodi Sundowns are favourites. They win 85.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 11.4% for the draw and 3% for Wiliete. Including the draw, Mamelodi Sundowns avoid defeat 97% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 18.4% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (15.6%) and 1-0 (14.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 24.2% of simulations. Mamelodi Sundowns keep a clean sheet 73.7% of the time and Wiliete 8.1%.
The simulations average 2.88 goals: 2.57 for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.31 for Wiliete. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.5% and over 3.5 goals 32.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.