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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Manacor vs Villarreal 100,000 times. Villarreal won 94,211 of them (94.2%), the draw came up 4.5% of the time and Manacor won 1.3%. The most likely score is 0-3 (12.9%), and both teams score in 32.3% of simulations.
Full time 0-5. Before kick-off the simulations had Villarreal winning 94.2% and gave this exact score 10.2%.
| Manacor win | 1.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 4.5% |
| Villarreal win | 94.2% |
| Most likely score | 0-3 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 0.40 – 4.00 |
| Both teams to score | 32.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 63.2% |
| Manacor score first | 9.4% |
| Villarreal score first | 89.2% |
| Manacor clean sheet | 2.1% |
| Villarreal clean sheet | 67% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420731336 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Villarreal are favourites. They win 94.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 4.5% for the draw and 1.3% for Manacor. Including the draw, Villarreal avoid defeat 98.7% of the time.
0-3, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 0-4 (12.7%) and 0-5 (10.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 32.3% of simulations. Manacor keep a clean sheet 2.1% of the time and Villarreal 67%.
The simulations average 4.40 goals: 0.40 for Manacor and 4.00 for Villarreal. Over 1.5 goals lands 92.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 80.6% and over 3.5 goals 63.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.