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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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UPDATE
Bet Builder Page Enhancements Live Now
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VIDEO
Predictions Show Episode Featuring Bet Builder
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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Manchester United vs Sabah 100,000 times. Manchester United won 90,405 of them (90.4%), the draw came up 6.9% of the time and Sabah won 2.7%. The most likely score is 3-0 (10.8%), and both teams score in 45.6% of simulations.
Full time 4-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Manchester United winning 90.4% and gave this exact score 10.1%.
| Manchester United win | 90.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 6.9% |
| Sabah win | 2.7% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (10.8%) |
| Expected goals | 3.81 – 0.63 |
| Both teams to score | 45.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 93.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 81.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 64% |
| Manchester United score first | 86.3% |
| Sabah score first | 12.1% |
| Manchester United clean sheet | 53.5% |
| Sabah clean sheet | 2.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420673919 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Manchester United are favourites. They win 90.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 6.9% for the draw and 2.7% for Sabah. Including the draw, Manchester United avoid defeat 97.3% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 10.8% of simulations. Next are 4-0 (10.1%) and 2-0 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 45.6% of simulations. Manchester United keep a clean sheet 53.5% of the time and Sabah 2.5%.
The simulations average 4.44 goals: 3.81 for Manchester United and 0.63 for Sabah. Over 1.5 goals lands 93.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 81.2% and over 3.5 goals 64%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.