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AFC Challenge League · 100,000 simulations

Manila Digger vs Shan United prediction

We simulated Manila Digger vs Shan United 100,000 times. Manila Digger won 49,655 of them (49.7%), the draw came up 31.5% of the time and Shan United won 18.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.8%, while the likeliest Manila Digger win is 1-0 (10.3%). Both teams score in 49.5% of simulations.

Manila Digger badge
Manila Digger Thuwanna YTC Stadium
4–0 Full time
Shan United badge
Shan United Away
49.7% 49,655 wins
31.5% Draw
18.9% 18,875 wins
Expected goals
1.56 – 0.90
Likeliest score
1-1 14.8% Top Manila Digger win: 1-0 10.3%
Both score
49.5%
Over 2.5
44.5%

Full time 4-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Manila Digger winning 49.7% and gave this exact score 2.2%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Thuwanna YTC Stadium, Yangon
Manila Digger vs Shan United live score, stats & lineups

Manila Digger vs Shan United in numbers 100,000 simulations · AFC Challenge League · Saturday 24 October, 10:30

Manila Digger vs Shan United simulation probabilities
Manila Digger win49.7%
Draw31.5%
Shan United win18.9%
Most likely score1-1 (14.8%)
Expected goals1.56 – 0.90
Both teams to score49.5%
Over 1.5 goals73.1%
Over 2.5 goals44.5%
Over 3.5 goals23.6%
Manila Digger score first55.8%
Shan United score first32.2%
Manila Digger clean sheet40.9%
Shan United clean sheet21.4%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420686806
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Manila Digger vs Shan United prediction FAQs

Who will win Manila Digger vs Shan United?

Manila Digger are favourites. They win 49.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 31.5% for the draw and 18.9% for Shan United. Including the draw, Manila Digger avoid defeat 81.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Manila Digger vs Shan United?

1-1, which came up in 14.8% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (11.8%) and 1-0 (10.3%). The likeliest Manila Digger win is 1-0 (10.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Manila Digger vs Shan United?

Both teams score in 49.5% of simulations. Manila Digger keep a clean sheet 40.9% of the time and Shan United 21.4%.

How many goals will there be in Manila Digger vs Shan United?

The simulations average 2.46 goals: 1.56 for Manila Digger and 0.90 for Shan United. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 44.5% and over 3.5 goals 23.6%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.