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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield 100,000 times. Mansfield Town won 46,234 of them (46.2%), the draw came up 24.3% of the time and Chesterfield won 29.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.9%, while the likeliest Mansfield Town win is 2-1 (9%). Both teams score in 63.2% of simulations.
| Mansfield Town win | 46.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.3% |
| Chesterfield win | 29.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.81 – 1.41 |
| Both teams to score | 63.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% |
| Mansfield Town score first | 51.7% |
| Chesterfield score first | 43.6% |
| Mansfield Town clean sheet | 24.9% |
| Chesterfield clean sheet | 16.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420657233 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Mansfield Town are favourites. They win 46.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.3% for the draw and 29.5% for Chesterfield. Including the draw, Mansfield Town avoid defeat 70.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9%) and 1-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win is 2-1 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63.2% of simulations. Mansfield Town keep a clean sheet 24.9% of the time and Chesterfield 16.9%.
The simulations average 3.21 goals: 1.81 for Mansfield Town and 1.41 for Chesterfield. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.9% and over 3.5 goals 40%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.