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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Mechelen vs Genk 100,000 times. Genk won 46,021 of them (46%), the draw came up 25.2% of the time and Mechelen won 28.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.4%, while the likeliest Genk win is 1-2 (9.1%). Both teams score in 61.9% of simulations.
| Mechelen win | 28.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.2% |
| Genk win | 46% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.36 – 1.76 |
| Both teams to score | 61.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% |
| Mechelen score first | 40.7% |
| Genk score first | 54% |
| Mechelen clean sheet | 17.6% |
| Genk clean sheet | 26.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420611236 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Genk are favourites. They win 46% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.2% for the draw and 28.8% for Mechelen. Including the draw, Genk avoid defeat 71.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.4% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.1%) and 2-1 (7.1%). The likeliest Genk win is 1-2 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.9% of simulations. Mechelen keep a clean sheet 17.6% of the time and Genk 26.1%.
The simulations average 3.12 goals: 1.36 for Mechelen and 1.76 for Genk. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.1% and over 3.5 goals 38%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.