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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Mechelen vs Karpaty 100,000 times. Mechelen won 38,494 of them (38.5%), the draw came up 27.3% of the time and Karpaty won 34.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.8%, while the likeliest Mechelen win is 2-1 (8.5%). Both teams score in 58.6% of simulations.
Full time 2-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Karpaty winning 34.2% and gave this exact score 2.7%.
| Mechelen win | 38.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.3% |
| Karpaty win | 34.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.48 – 1.39 |
| Both teams to score | 58.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.3% |
| Mechelen score first | 45.5% |
| Karpaty score first | 47.5% |
| Mechelen clean sheet | 25.4% |
| Karpaty clean sheet | 23.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420728925 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Mechelen are favourites. They win 38.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.3% for the draw and 34.2% for Karpaty. Including the draw, Mechelen avoid defeat 65.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Mechelen win is 2-1 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.6% of simulations. Mechelen keep a clean sheet 25.4% of the time and Karpaty 23.1%.
The simulations average 2.87 goals: 1.48 for Mechelen and 1.39 for Karpaty. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.4% and over 3.5 goals 32.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.