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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Metropolitano vs Figueirense 100,000 times. Figueirense won 43,854 of them (43.9%), the draw came up 27.4% of the time and Metropolitano won 28.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.9%, while the likeliest Figueirense win is 1-2 (9%). Both teams score in 56.5% of simulations.
Full time 0-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Figueirense winning 43.9% and gave this exact score 8.4%.
| Metropolitano win | 28.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.4% |
| Figueirense win | 43.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.22 – 1.56 |
| Both teams to score | 56.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.5% |
| Metropolitano score first | 43.3% |
| Figueirense score first | 48.7% |
| Metropolitano clean sheet | 21.4% |
| Figueirense clean sheet | 29.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420674884 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Figueirense are favourites. They win 43.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.4% for the draw and 28.7% for Metropolitano. Including the draw, Figueirense avoid defeat 71.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9%) and 0-1 (8.4%). The likeliest Figueirense win is 1-2 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.5% of simulations. Metropolitano keep a clean sheet 21.4% of the time and Figueirense 29.8%.
The simulations average 2.79 goals: 1.22 for Metropolitano and 1.56 for Figueirense. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.5% and over 3.5 goals 30.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.