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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Metz vs Fortuna Sittard 100,000 times. Metz won 50,471 of them (50.5%), the draw came up 24.1% of the time and Fortuna Sittard won 25.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.8%, while the likeliest Metz win is 2-1 (9.3%). Both teams score in 62.9% of simulations.
Full time 3-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Metz winning 50.5% and gave this exact score 6%.
| Metz win | 50.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.1% |
| Fortuna Sittard win | 25.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.92 – 1.32 |
| Both teams to score | 62.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.6% |
| Metz score first | 57.8% |
| Fortuna Sittard score first | 37% |
| Metz clean sheet | 27.1% |
| Fortuna Sittard clean sheet | 15.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420569043 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Metz are favourites. They win 50.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.1% for the draw and 25.5% for Fortuna Sittard. Including the draw, Metz avoid defeat 74.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Metz win is 2-1 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.9% of simulations. Metz keep a clean sheet 27.1% of the time and Fortuna Sittard 15.1%.
The simulations average 3.24 goals: 1.92 for Metz and 1.32 for Fortuna Sittard. Over 1.5 goals lands 84% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.5% and over 3.5 goals 40.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.