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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Midland vs Tristán Suárez 100,000 times. Midland won 41,667 of them (41.7%), the draw came up 36% of the time and Tristán Suárez won 22.4%. No single score is common: 0-0 is the likeliest at 18.9%, while the likeliest Midland win is 1-0 (16.1%). Both teams score in 35.1% of simulations.
Full time 0-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Tristán Suárez winning 22.4% and gave this exact score 10.2%.
| Midland win | 41.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 36% |
| Tristán Suárez win | 22.4% |
| Most likely score | 0-0 (18.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.07 – 0.71 |
| Both teams to score | 35.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 54.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 26.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 10.8% |
| Midland score first | 49.1% |
| Tristán Suárez score first | 32.3% |
| Midland clean sheet | 49.2% |
| Tristán Suárez clean sheet | 34.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420503394 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Midland are favourites. They win 41.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 36% for the draw and 22.4% for Tristán Suárez. Including the draw, Midland avoid defeat 77.6% of the time.
0-0, which came up in 18.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (16.1%) and 1-1 (14.5%). The likeliest Midland win is 1-0 (16.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 35.1% of simulations. Midland keep a clean sheet 49.2% of the time and Tristán Suárez 34.6%.
The simulations average 1.78 goals: 1.07 for Midland and 0.71 for Tristán Suárez. Over 1.5 goals lands 54.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 26.6% and over 3.5 goals 10.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.