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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Millonarios vs Alianza Petrolera 100,000 times. Millonarios won 76,943 of them (76.9%), the draw came up 15.5% of the time and Alianza Petrolera won 7.6%. The most likely score is 2-0 (14.9%), and both teams score in 38.3% of simulations.
| Millonarios win | 76.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 15.5% |
| Alianza Petrolera win | 7.6% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (14.9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.33 – 0.56 |
| Both teams to score | 38.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.8% |
| Millonarios score first | 75.4% |
| Alianza Petrolera score first | 18.9% |
| Millonarios clean sheet | 57.3% |
| Alianza Petrolera clean sheet | 10.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420567201 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Millonarios are favourites. They win 76.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 15.5% for the draw and 7.6% for Alianza Petrolera. Including the draw, Millonarios avoid defeat 92.5% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 14.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (13.2%) and 3-0 (11.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 38.3% of simulations. Millonarios keep a clean sheet 57.3% of the time and Alianza Petrolera 10.2%.
The simulations average 2.89 goals: 2.33 for Millonarios and 0.56 for Alianza Petrolera. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.8% and over 3.5 goals 32.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.