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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Millwall U21 vs Brighton U21 100,000 times. Brighton U21 won 45,727 of them (45.7%), the draw came up 21.9% of the time and Millwall U21 won 32.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.7%, while the likeliest Brighton U21 win is 1-2 (8.9%). Both teams score in 62.1% of simulations.
| Millwall U21 win | 32.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.9% |
| Brighton U21 win | 45.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.44 – 1.76 |
| Both teams to score | 62.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.8% |
| Millwall U21 score first | 38.9% |
| Brighton U21 score first | 57.3% |
| Millwall U21 clean sheet | 17.6% |
| Brighton U21 clean sheet | 24% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420642370 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Brighton U21 are favourites. They win 45.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.9% for the draw and 32.4% for Millwall U21. Including the draw, Brighton U21 avoid defeat 67.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.7% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-1 (7.8%). The likeliest Brighton U21 win is 1-2 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.1% of simulations. Millwall U21 keep a clean sheet 17.6% of the time and Brighton U21 24%.
The simulations average 3.20 goals: 1.44 for Millwall U21 and 1.76 for Brighton U21. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.8% and over 3.5 goals 39.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.