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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Mindil Aces vs Darwin Olympic 100,000 times. Mindil Aces won 41,116 of them (41.1%), the draw came up 21% of the time and Darwin Olympic won 37.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 7.1%, while the likeliest Mindil Aces win is 2-1 (6.9%). Both teams score in 76.9% of simulations.
Full time 5-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Mindil Aces winning 41.1%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Mindil Aces win | 41.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21% |
| Darwin Olympic win | 37.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (7.1%) |
| Expected goals | 2.15 – 2.07 |
| Both teams to score | 76.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 60.4% |
| Mindil Aces score first | 44% |
| Darwin Olympic score first | 53.8% |
| Mindil Aces clean sheet | 13.2% |
| Darwin Olympic clean sheet | 12.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420726270 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Mindil Aces are favourites. They win 41.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21% for the draw and 37.9% for Darwin Olympic. Including the draw, Mindil Aces avoid defeat 62.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 7.1% of simulations. Next are 2-2 (7%) and 2-1 (6.9%). The likeliest Mindil Aces win is 2-1 (6.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 76.9% of simulations. Mindil Aces keep a clean sheet 13.2% of the time and Darwin Olympic 12.1%.
The simulations average 4.22 goals: 2.15 for Mindil Aces and 2.07 for Darwin Olympic. Over 1.5 goals lands 92.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 78.7% and over 3.5 goals 60.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.