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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Moca vs Atlántico 100,000 times. Moca won 79,717 of them (79.7%), the draw came up 14.4% of the time and Atlántico won 5.9%. The most likely score is 2-0 (12.7%), and both teams score in 44.5% of simulations.
Full time 3-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Moca winning 79.7% and gave this exact score 7.2%.
| Moca win | 79.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 14.4% |
| Atlántico win | 5.9% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (12.7%) |
| Expected goals | 2.72 – 0.64 |
| Both teams to score | 44.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.1% |
| Moca score first | 79.1% |
| Atlántico score first | 16.4% |
| Moca clean sheet | 52.8% |
| Atlántico clean sheet | 7.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420671115 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Moca are favourites. They win 79.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 14.4% for the draw and 5.9% for Atlántico. Including the draw, Moca avoid defeat 94.1% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 12.7% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (11.4%) and 1-0 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 44.5% of simulations. Moca keep a clean sheet 52.8% of the time and Atlántico 7.1%.
The simulations average 3.36 goals: 2.72 for Moca and 0.64 for Atlántico. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.7% and over 3.5 goals 43.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.