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Federation Cup · 100,000 simulations

Mohammedan Dhaka vs PWD Sports Club prediction

We simulated Mohammedan Dhaka vs PWD Sports Club 100,000 times. Mohammedan Dhaka won 69,481 of them (69.5%), the draw came up 20% of the time and PWD Sports Club won 10.6%. The most likely score is 2-0 (13.1%), and both teams score in 44.9% of simulations.

Mohammedan Dhaka badge
Mohammedan Dhaka Bangabandhu National Stadium
1–1 Full time
PWD Sports Club badge
PWD Sports Club Away
69.5% 69,481 wins
20% Draw
10.6% 10,573 wins
Expected goals
2.14 – 0.71
Likeliest score
2-0 13.1%
Both score
44.9%
Over 2.5
53.9%

Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 20% and gave this exact score 9.4%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Bangabandhu National Stadium, Dhaka
Mohammedan Dhaka vs PWD Sports Club live score, stats & lineups

Mohammedan Dhaka vs PWD Sports Club in numbers 100,000 simulations · Federation Cup · Tuesday 20 October, 09:45

Mohammedan Dhaka vs PWD Sports Club simulation probabilities
Mohammedan Dhaka win69.5%
Draw20%
PWD Sports Club win10.6%
Most likely score2-0 (13.1%)
Expected goals2.14 – 0.71
Both teams to score44.9%
Over 1.5 goals77.9%
Over 2.5 goals53.9%
Over 3.5 goals31.9%
Mohammedan Dhaka score first68.1%
PWD Sports Club score first25%
Mohammedan Dhaka clean sheet49.6%
PWD Sports Club clean sheet12.2%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420725923
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Mohammedan Dhaka vs PWD Sports Club prediction FAQs

Who will win Mohammedan Dhaka vs PWD Sports Club?

Mohammedan Dhaka are favourites. They win 69.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20% for the draw and 10.6% for PWD Sports Club. Including the draw, Mohammedan Dhaka avoid defeat 89.4% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Mohammedan Dhaka vs PWD Sports Club?

2-0, which came up in 13.1% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.9%) and 1-1 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Mohammedan Dhaka vs PWD Sports Club?

Both teams score in 44.9% of simulations. Mohammedan Dhaka keep a clean sheet 49.6% of the time and PWD Sports Club 12.2%.

How many goals will there be in Mohammedan Dhaka vs PWD Sports Club?

The simulations average 2.85 goals: 2.14 for Mohammedan Dhaka and 0.71 for PWD Sports Club. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.9% and over 3.5 goals 31.9%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.