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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Monaco vs Nordsjælland 100,000 times. Monaco won 62,459 of them (62.5%), the draw came up 20.3% of the time and Nordsjælland won 17.2%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.6%), and both teams score in 57.5% of simulations.
| Monaco win | 62.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.3% |
| Nordsjælland win | 17.2% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.18 – 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | 57.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.5% |
| Monaco score first | 66.9% |
| Nordsjælland score first | 28.7% |
| Monaco clean sheet | 35.2% |
| Nordsjælland clean sheet | 11.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684597 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Monaco are favourites. They win 62.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.3% for the draw and 17.2% for Nordsjælland. Including the draw, Monaco avoid defeat 82.8% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.6% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (9.3%) and 1-1 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.5% of simulations. Monaco keep a clean sheet 35.2% of the time and Nordsjælland 11.7%.
The simulations average 3.24 goals: 2.18 for Monaco and 1.05 for Nordsjælland. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.4% and over 3.5 goals 40.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.