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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis 100,000 times. Montedio Yamagata won 37,340 of them (37.3%), the draw came up 30.2% of the time and Tokushima Vortis won 32.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.1%, while the likeliest Montedio Yamagata win is 1-0 (10.7%). Both teams score in 48% of simulations.
| Montedio Yamagata win | 37.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 30.2% |
| Tokushima Vortis win | 32.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (14.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.22 – 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 20.9% |
| Montedio Yamagata score first | 44.7% |
| Tokushima Vortis score first | 44.4% |
| Montedio Yamagata clean sheet | 33.1% |
| Tokushima Vortis clean sheet | 30% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420613830 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Montedio Yamagata are favourites. They win 37.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 30.2% for the draw and 32.4% for Tokushima Vortis. Including the draw, Montedio Yamagata avoid defeat 67.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 14.1% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (11%) and 1-0 (10.7%). The likeliest Montedio Yamagata win is 1-0 (10.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 48% of simulations. Montedio Yamagata keep a clean sheet 33.1% of the time and Tokushima Vortis 30%.
The simulations average 2.33 goals: 1.22 for Montedio Yamagata and 1.12 for Tokushima Vortis. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 41.2% and over 3.5 goals 20.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.