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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Monterrey W vs América W 100,000 times. América W won 48,248 of them (48.3%), the draw came up 23.9% of the time and Monterrey W won 27.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.7%, while the likeliest América W win is 1-2 (9.2%). Both teams score in 63% of simulations.
Full time 4-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Monterrey W winning 27.9%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Monterrey W win | 27.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.9% |
| América W win | 48.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.37 – 1.86 |
| Both teams to score | 63% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.3% |
| Monterrey W score first | 40.5% |
| América W score first | 54.3% |
| Monterrey W clean sheet | 16% |
| América W clean sheet | 25.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420599524 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
América W are favourites. They win 48.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.9% for the draw and 27.9% for Monterrey W. Including the draw, América W avoid defeat 72.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.7% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest América W win is 1-2 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63% of simulations. Monterrey W keep a clean sheet 16% of the time and América W 25.8%.
The simulations average 3.23 goals: 1.37 for Monterrey W and 1.86 for América W. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.3% and over 3.5 goals 40.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.